Pirates vs. Cubs Prediction: Odds, Line & Insights for May 10

The Chicago Cubs (22-16) enter Friday's matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates (17-21) following their 1-2 series defeat to the Padres. The Pirates, coming off of a series loss against the Angels, are listed as -135 favorites for Game 1. The series begins at PNC Park, starting at 6:40 PM ET on SportsNet PT. Pittsburgh's Jared Jones and Chicago's Javier Assad have been named the starters for this contest.

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Pirates vs. Cubs Predictions

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Moneyline Odds & Pick

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Moneyline Pick Score Prediction
Pirates -135 +115 Cubs Cubs 4, Pirates 3

Moneyline Insights

  • Pittsburgh has won six of the 18 games it was favored on the moneyline this season (33.3%).
  • Chicago has won 12, or 52.2%, of the 23 games it has played as the underdog this season.
  • In games they have played as moneyline favorites with odds of -135 or shorter, the Pirates have a 4-5 record (winning 44.4% of their games).
  • This season, the Cubs have won six of their nine games, or 66.7%, when they're the underdog by at least +115 on the moneyline.
  • The implied moneyline probablility in this matchup gives Pittsburgh a 57.4% chance to win.

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Total Odds & Pick

Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Over/Under Pick
7 -120 +100 Over 7 runs

Total Insights

  • Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 15 of its 38 games with a total this season.
  • Contests with Chicago has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 16 of 38 chances this season.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents are 2-7-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • In their last 10 games with an over/under, the Cubs and their opponents have combined to eclipse the total three times.

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Read More About This Game

Pirates vs. Cubs Probable Starting Pitchers

Pirates: Jared Jones

  • Jones (2-3) will take to the mound for the Pirates and make his eighth start of the season.
  • The 22-year-old has an ERA of 2.63 and 11.4 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .184 in seven games this season.
  • The Pirates were favored on the moneyline for two Jones starts this season -- they split the games.
  • Jones' team is 3-4 over his seven starts.
  • Jones' starts with a set total this season have hit the over in one of seven contests.

Cubs: Javier Assad

  • The Cubs will send Assad (3-0) to the mound for his eighth start this season.
  • The 26-year-old has an ERA of 1.66 and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .201 in seven games this season.
  • When he is the starting pitcher, Chicago has a record of 3-2 this season when they are the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Assad's team has won four of his seven starts this season.
  • Out of Assad's seven starts with a total this season, two have hit the over.

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Pirates vs. Cubs Stats

Pirates Cubs
3.5
Runs Scored (PG)
4.6
28
MLB Rank (RPG)
13
4.1
Runs Allowed (PG)
4.2
11
MLB Rank (RAPG)
12
.220
Batting AVG
.233
27
MLB Rank (BA)
20
.231
Batting AVG Against
.236
10
MLB Rank (BAA)
12
27
Home Runs
40
28
MLB Rank (HR)
9
41
Home Runs Allowed
32
17
MLB Rank (HRA)
6

How to Watch Pirates vs. Cubs

  • Date: Friday, May 10, 2024
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • TV: SportsNet PT
  • Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • Venue: PNC Park
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo

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