Astros vs. Tigers Prediction: Odds, Line & Insights for May 10

The Houston Astros (13-24) visit the Detroit Tigers (19-18) at 6:40 PM ET Friday for a sluggers' duel between two of the best home-run hitters in baseball. Kyle Tucker has racked up 11 homers this season (No. 2 in the league) for the favored Astros which sit as -145 favorites, while Riley Greene ranks 122nd in the majors with three dingers of his own for the underdogs. Houston's Framber Valdez and Detroit's Casey Mize have been named the starters for this contest.

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Astros vs. Tigers Predictions

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Moneyline Odds & Pick

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Moneyline Pick Score Prediction
Astros -145 +120 Tigers Tigers 4, Astros 3

Moneyline Insights

  • Houston has a 10-18 record in games it was listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 35.7% of those games).
  • Detroit has won nine, or 47.4%, of the 19 games it has played as the underdog this season.
  • The Astros have gone 6-7 when playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -145 or shorter (46.2% winning percentage).
  • The Tigers are 2-2 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +120 or more on the moneyline.
  • Based on this contest's moneyline, Houston has an implied win probability of 59.2%.

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Total Odds & Pick

Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Over/Under Pick
8 -120 +100 Under 8 runs

Total Insights

  • Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 13 of its 37 games with a total this season.
  • Detroit and its opponents have hit the over in 18 of its 36 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Astros and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents have combined to exceed the over/under on five occasions.

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Read More About This Game

Astros vs. Tigers Probable Starting Pitchers

Astros: Framber Valdez

  • The Astros will send Valdez (1-1) to the mound for his fifth start this season.
  • The 30-year-old has pitched to a 3.97 ERA this season with 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.8 walks per nine across four games.
  • The Astros have been the moneyline favorite in four of Valdez's starts this season, and they went 1-3 in those matchups.
  • Valdez's team has won one of his four starts.
  • Valdez's team has fallen short of the total in each of his four starts with a set total this season.

Tigers: Casey Mize

  • The Tigers will send Mize (1-1) to the mound for his seventh start this season.
  • The 27-year-old has an ERA of 3.98, a 3.43 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.326 in six games this season.
  • When he starts a game and his team is the underdog on the moneyline, they have a record of 4-1.
  • Mize's team has won five of his six starts.
  • In Mize's six starts with a total, the teams have hit the over three times.

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Astros vs. Tigers Stats

Astros Tigers
4.4
Runs Scored (PG)
4
15
MLB Rank (RPG)
21
5.2
Runs Allowed (PG)
3.9
26
MLB Rank (RAPG)
9
.258
Batting AVG
.227
3
MLB Rank (BA)
23
.260
Batting AVG Against
.218
26
MLB Rank (BAA)
3
44
Home Runs
32
7
MLB Rank (HR)
22
44
Home Runs Allowed
35
23
MLB Rank (HRA)
10

How to Watch Astros vs. Tigers

  • Date: Friday, May 10, 2024
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • TV: SCHN
  • Location: Detroit, Michigan
  • Venue: Comerica Park
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo

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