Twins vs. Mariners Prediction: Odds, Line & Insights for May 9

The Minnesota Twins (21-15), led by Max Kepler on a 10-game hitting streak, will meet the Seattle Mariners (20-17) Thursday at Target Field. The Twins are -125 favorites for the matchup, which starts at 1:10 PM ET on MLB Network. Pablo Lopez will get the ball for Minnesota while Seattle will counter with Logan Gilbert.

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Twins vs. Mariners Predictions

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Moneyline Odds & Pick

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Moneyline Pick Score Prediction
Twins -125 +105 Twins Twins 5, Mariners 4

Moneyline Insights

  • Minnesota has a 14-7 record in games it was favored on the moneyline (winning 66.7% of those games).
  • Seattle has won nine, or 52.9%, of the 17 games it has played as the underdog this season.
  • When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -125 or shorter, the Twins have a record of 11-6 (64.7%).
  • This season, the Mariners have won four of their nine games, or 44.4%, when they're the underdog by at least +105 on the moneyline.
  • Minnesota has a 55.6% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.

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Total Odds & Pick

Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Over/Under Pick
6.5 -110 -110 Over 6.5 runs

Total Insights

  • Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 18 of 35 opportunities.
  • Seattle's games have gone over the total in 10 of its 37 opportunities.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Twins and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
  • When it comes to the over/under, the Mariners and their opponents are 3-7-0 in their previous 10 games.

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Read More About This Game

Twins vs. Mariners Probable Starting Pitchers

Twins: Pablo Lopez

  • The Twins will send Lopez (3-2) to the mound for his eighth start this season.
  • The 28-year-old has pitched in seven games this season with an ERA of 4.30, a 5.63 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.035.
  • The Twins have a 3-1 record in Lopez's four starts this season when they were the moneyline favorite.
  • Lopez's team has a 4-3 record in his seven starts.
  • Lopez's starts with a set total this season have hit the over in three of seven games.

Mariners: Logan Gilbert

  • The Mariners will hand the ball to Gilbert (3-0) for his eighth start of the season.
  • The 27-year-old has an ERA of 1.69, a 3.85 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of .792 in seven games this season.
  • When he starts a game and his team is the underdog on the moneyline, they have a record of 2-1.
  • In games Gilbert has started, his team is 5-2.
  • Games Gilbert has started this season hit the over one time in seven chances.

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Twins vs. Mariners Stats

Twins Mariners
4.7
Runs Scored (PG)
3.7
11
MLB Rank (RPG)
24
4.3
Runs Allowed (PG)
3.4
13
MLB Rank (RAPG)
1
.238
Batting AVG
.223
18
MLB Rank (BA)
25
.240
Batting AVG Against
.208
17
MLB Rank (BAA)
1
38
Home Runs
40
13
MLB Rank (HR)
9
43
Home Runs Allowed
36
25
MLB Rank (HRA)
13

How to Watch Twins vs. Mariners

  • Date: Thursday, May 9, 2024
  • Time: 1:10 PM ET
  • TV: MLB Network
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Venue: Target Field
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo

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