Mariners vs. Twins Prediction: Odds, Line & Insights for May 6

The Seattle Mariners (19-15), led by Caleb Raleigh on a two-game home run streak, are -125 favorites on the moneyline to defeat the Minnesota Twins (19-14). First pitch is set for 7:40 PM ET Monday, live from Target Field and airing on BSN. Seattle's Luis Castillo gets the start, and he'll go against Minnesota's Simeon Woods Richardson.

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Mariners vs. Twins Predictions

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Moneyline Odds & Pick

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Moneyline Pick Score Prediction
Mariners -125 +105 Twins Twins 4, Mariners 3

Moneyline Insights

  • Seattle has been the moneyline favorite 18 total times this season. It've finished 11-7 in those games.
  • Minnesota has entered the game as underdogs 11 times this season and won three, or 27.3%, of those games.
  • The Mariners have gone 9-5 (winning 64.3% of their games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -125 or shorter.
  • The Twins have a record of 1-4 in games where sportsbooks have them as underogs of at least +105 on the moneyline.
  • Based on this contest's moneyline, Seattle's implied win probability is 55.6%.

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Total Odds & Pick

Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Over/Under Pick
8 -105 -115 Under 8 runs

Total Insights

  • So far this season, Seattle and its opponents have hit the over in eight of 34 games with a total.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 16 of its 32 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Mariners and their opponents have combined to hit the over just once.
  • When it comes to the over/under, the Twins and their foes are 6-3-1 in their previous 10 contests.

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Read More About This Game

Mariners vs. Twins Probable Starting Pitchers

Mariners: Luis Castillo

  • The Mariners will send Castillo (3-4) to the mound for his eighth start this season.
  • The 31-year-old has an ERA of 3.46 and 10.6 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .252 in seven games this season.
  • The Mariners have a 2-3 record in Castillo's five starts this season when they were favored on the moneyline.
  • Castillo's team has won three of his seven starts.
  • Castillo has started seven games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in one of them.

Twins: Simeon Woods Richardson

  • The Twins will send Woods Richardson (1-0) to the mound for his fourth start this season.
  • The 23-year-old has an ERA of 2.45 and 8 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .281 in three games this season.
  • This will be his first start this season with his team as the moneyline underdog.
  • Woods Richardson and his team have won each of the three games he's started this season.
  • In the two games with a total started by Woods Richardson this season, the teams hit the over.

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Mariners vs. Twins Stats

Mariners Twins
3.6
Runs Scored (PG)
4.6
25
MLB Rank (RPG)
11
3.3
Runs Allowed (PG)
4.2
1
MLB Rank (RAPG)
13
.223
Batting AVG
.239
26
MLB Rank (BA)
15
.207
Batting AVG Against
.241
1
MLB Rank (BAA)
15
37
Home Runs
34
10
MLB Rank (HR)
17
32
Home Runs Allowed
40
11
MLB Rank (HRA)
24

How to Watch Mariners vs. Twins

  • Date: Monday, May 6, 2024
  • Time: 7:40 PM ET
  • TV: BSN
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Venue: Target Field
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo

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