Reds vs. Orioles Prediction: Odds, Line & Insights for May 5

The Cincinnati Reds (16-17) host the Baltimore Orioles (22-11) at 4:10 PM ET Sunday for a sluggers' duel between two of the best power hitters in MLB. For the favored Reds (-130), Elly De La Cruz has racked up eight homers this season, fifth in the league, while Gunnar Henderson ranks 44th in the majors with five dingers of his own this season for the underdogs. Nick Lodolo starts for Cincinnati while Dean Kremer is Baltimore's starter for the contest.

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Reds vs. Orioles Predictions

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Moneyline Odds & Pick

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Moneyline Pick Score Prediction
Reds -130 +110 Orioles Orioles 4, Reds 3

Moneyline Insights

  • Cincinnati has won 10 of the 16 games it was listed as the moneyline favorite this season (62.5%).
  • This season, Baltimore has been the underdog five times and won four of those games.
  • The Reds have a 7-4 record (winning 63.6% of their games) when they have played as moneyline favorites of -130 or shorter.
  • The Orioles have not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +110 odds on them winning this game.
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, Cincinnati has an implied win probability of 56.5%.

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Total Odds & Pick

Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Over/Under Pick
9 -105 -115 Under 9 runs

Total Insights

  • Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 17 of its 33 games with a total this season.
  • Contests with Baltimore has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 16 of 33 chances this season.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Reds and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • In their last 10 games with an over/under, the Orioles and their opponents have combined to eclipse the total two times.

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Read More About This Game

Reds vs. Orioles Probable Starting Pitchers

Reds: Nick Lodolo

  • The Reds will send Lodolo (3-0) to the mound for his fifth start this season.
  • The 26-year-old has pitched in four games this season with a 1.87 ERA and 11.6 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .176.
  • The Reds won each of Lodolo's three starts this season that they were favored on the moneyline.
  • Lodolo's team has won all four of his starts this season.
  • Lodolo's starts went over the run total one time in four games with a set total this season.

Orioles: Dean Kremer

  • Kremer (2-2) will take to the mound for the Orioles and make his seventh start of the season.
  • The 28-year-old has an ERA of 4.19, a 3.1 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.078 in six games this season.
  • His team won his only start as an underdog this season.
  • Kremer's team is 3-3 when he starts this season.
  • Games Kremer has started this season hit the over four times in six chances.

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Reds vs. Orioles Stats

Reds Orioles
4.6
Runs Scored (PG)
5.1
13
MLB Rank (RPG)
4
4.2
Runs Allowed (PG)
3.8
15
MLB Rank (RAPG)
5
.213
Batting AVG
.249
29
MLB Rank (BA)
8
.235
Batting AVG Against
.223
12
MLB Rank (BAA)
8
32
Home Runs
51
18
MLB Rank (HR)
1
34
Home Runs Allowed
36
14
MLB Rank (HRA)
19

How to Watch Reds vs. Orioles

  • Date: Sunday, May 5, 2024
  • Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • TV: MASN2
  • Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
  • Venue: Great American Ball Park
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo

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