Rays vs. Mets Prediction: Odds, Line & Insights for May 5
The Tampa Bay Rays (16-18) will look to complete a series sweep as they take a 2-0 lead into their final matchup against the New York Mets (16-17) at 1:40 PM ET Sunday from Tropicana Field. The Rays are favored (-120) by oddsmakers. Ryan Pepiot will get the ball for Tampa Bay while New York will counter with Luis Severino.
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Rays vs. Mets Predictions
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Moneyline Odds & Pick
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Moneyline Pick | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -120 | +100 | Mets | Mets 5, Rays 4 |
Moneyline Insights
- Tampa Bay has won 45.8% of the games this season when it was the moneyline favorite (11-13).
- New York has entered the game as underdogs 14 times this season and won seven, or 50%, of those games.
- The Rays have a record of 10-10 when playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -120 or shorter (50% winning percentage).
- The Mets are 5-5 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +100 or more on the moneyline.
- Based on this matchup's moneyline, Tampa Bay has an implied win probability of 54.5%.
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Total Odds & Pick
| Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Over/Under Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | -120 | +100 | Over 7 runs |
Total Insights
- Games involving Tampa Bay have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 19 of 34 chances this season.
- New York and its opponents have hit the over in 16 of its 33 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Rays and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
- When it comes to the over/under, the Mets and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their previous 10 games.
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Read More About This Game
Rays vs. Mets Probable Starting Pitchers
Rays: Ryan Pepiot
- The Rays will hand the ball to Pepiot (3-2) for his seventh start of the season.
- The 26-year-old has pitched to a 3.12 ERA this season with 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.6 walks per nine across six games.
- The Rays have a 2-3 record in Pepiot's five starts this season when they were favored on the moneyline.
- Pepiot's team has a 3-3 record in his starts this season.
- Pepiot's starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in two of six games.
Mets: Luis Severino
- The Mets' Severino (2-2) will make his seventh start of the season.
- The 30-year-old has an ERA of 2.31, a 2.82 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.057 in six games this season.
- His team is 0-2 this season when he starts and they're underdogs on the moneyline.
- Severino's team has won two of his six starts.
- Games started by Severino have a 3-3-0 record at hitting the over this season.
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Rays vs. Mets Stats
| Rays | Mets | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.9 | 4.4 | |
| 21 | 17 | |
| 5.1 | 4.3 | |
| 26 | 16 | |
| .242 | .237 | |
| 13 | 18 | |
| .251 | .219 | |
| 22 | 6 | |
| 27 | 34 | |
| 25 | 14 | |
| 44 | 19 | |
| 29 | 1 |
How to Watch Rays vs. Mets
- Date: Sunday, May 5, 2024
- Time: 1:40 PM ET
- TV: SNY
- Location: St. Petersburg, Florida
- Venue: Tropicana Field
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
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