Brewers vs. Cubs Prediction: Odds, Line & Insights for May 5

The Milwaukee Brewers (20-12) and the Chicago Cubs (20-14) meet in the rubber match of a three-game series on Sunday at 2:20 PM ET. The Brewers are -135 favorites on the moneyline to win the series over the Cubs (+115). Freddy Peralta will get the ball for Milwaukee while Chicago will counter with Javier Assad.

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Brewers vs. Cubs Predictions

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Moneyline Odds & Pick

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Moneyline Pick Score Prediction
Brewers -135 +115 Cubs Cubs 5, Brewers 4

Moneyline Insights

  • Milwaukee has won nine of the 14 games it was listed as the moneyline favorite this season (64.3%).
  • Chicago has won 11, or 52.4%, of the 21 games it has played as the underdog this season.
  • In games they have played as moneyline favorites with odds of -135 or shorter, the Brewers have a 4-1 record (winning 80% of their games).
  • The Cubs have a record of 6-3 in games where bookmakers have them as underogs of at least +115 on the moneyline.
  • The implied moneyline probablility for this matchup gives Milwaukee a 57.4% chance to win.

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Total Odds & Pick

Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Over/Under Pick
6.5 -105 -115 Over 6.5 runs

Total Insights

  • Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 19 of 32 opportunities.
  • Chicago and its opponents have gone over in 15 of its 34 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Brewers and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
  • When it comes to the over/under, the Cubs and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their previous 10 games.

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Read More About This Game

Brewers vs. Cubs Probable Starting Pitchers

Brewers: Freddy Peralta

  • Peralta (3-0) will take the mound for the Brewers, his seventh start of the season.
  • The 27-year-old has an ERA of 3.21, a 5 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of .861 in six games this season.
  • The Brewers were named the moneyline favorite for five Peralta starts this season -- they won every game.
  • Peralta's six starts have all been wins for his team this season.
  • Peralta's starts went over the run total four times in six games with a set total this season.

Cubs: Javier Assad

  • The Cubs' Assad (2-0) will make his seventh start of the season.
  • The 26-year-old has an ERA of 1.97, a 3 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.000 in six games this season.
  • His team has been victorious in 50% of the games he's started as the moneyline underdog with a record of 2-2.
  • Assad's team has a 3-3 record in his starts this season.
  • In games Assad has started this season, the teams are 2-4-0 at hitting the over.

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Brewers vs. Cubs Stats

Brewers Cubs
5.2
Runs Scored (PG)
4.8
2
MLB Rank (RPG)
8
4.3
Runs Allowed (PG)
4.4
16
MLB Rank (RAPG)
18
.257
Batting AVG
.236
5
MLB Rank (BA)
19
.240
Batting AVG Against
.235
16
MLB Rank (BAA)
12
39
Home Runs
35
6
MLB Rank (HR)
11
39
Home Runs Allowed
31
24
MLB Rank (HRA)
10

How to Watch Brewers vs. Cubs

  • Date: Sunday, May 5, 2024
  • Time: 2:20 PM ET
  • TV: MARQ
  • Location: Chicago, Illinois
  • Venue: Wrigley Field
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo

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