Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction: Odds, Line & Insights for May 4
The Minnesota Twins (18-13) will put their 11-game win streak to the test when they host the Boston Red Sox (18-15) Saturday at 2:10 PM ET on NESN. Sportsbooks consider the Twins -175 favorites to extend their streak, while the Red Sox are +145 underdogs looking for the upset. Pablo Lopez takes the mound for Minnesota while Brennan Bernardino is Boston's starter for the contest.
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Twins vs. Red Sox Predictions
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Moneyline Odds & Pick
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Moneyline Pick | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -175 | +145 | Twins | Twins 5, Red Sox 4 |
Moneyline Insights
- Minnesota has been the moneyline favorite 18 total times this season. It've gone 13-5 in those games.
- Boston has been the underdog in 17 games this season and won nine (52.9%) of those contests.
- The Twins have gone 6-2 (winning 75% of their games) when they have played as moneyline favorites of -175 or shorter.
- The Red Sox have not been a bigger underdog this season than the +145 moneyline set for this game.
- The implied moneyline probablility for this matchup gives Minnesota a 63.6% chance to win.
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Total Odds & Pick
| Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Over/Under Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | -120 | +100 | Over 7 runs |
Total Insights
- So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 15 of 30 games with a total.
- Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 14 of its 33 opportunities.
- When it comes to hitting the over, the Twins and their opponents are 7-2-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
- When it comes to the over/under, the Red Sox and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their previous 10 games.
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Read More About This Game
Twins vs. Red Sox Probable Starting Pitchers
Twins: Pablo Lopez
- Lopez (2-2) will take to the mound for the Twins and make his seventh start of the season.
- The 28-year-old has an ERA of 4.83, a 5.29 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.042 in six games this season.
- The Twins are 2-1 in Lopez's three starts this season with Minnesota as the moneyline favorite.
- Lopez's team has won three of his six starts.
- Lopez has had six starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and three of those games finished over the total.
Red Sox: Brennan Bernardino
- Bernardino will take to the mound for the Red Sox, his second start of the season.
- He has pitched in 10 games this season with an ERA of 0.73, a batting average against of .105 and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings.
- This will be his first game as the moneyline underdog this season.
- Bernardino's team lost in his only start this season.
- The only game started by Bernardino with a total this season hit the over.
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Twins vs. Red Sox Stats
| Twins | Red Sox | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.8 | 4.6 | |
| 8 | 12 | |
| 4.2 | 3.5 | |
| 13 | 3 | |
| .239 | .245 | |
| 16 | 10 | |
| .239 | .220 | |
| 17 | 7 | |
| 32 | 36 | |
| 15 | 9 | |
| 38 | 24 | |
| 25 | 4 |
How to Watch Twins vs. Red Sox
- Date: Saturday, May 4, 2024
- Time: 2:10 PM ET
- TV: NESN
- Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
- Venue: Target Field
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
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