Reds vs. Orioles Prediction: Odds, Line & Insights for May 4
Expect the long ball when Elly De La Cruz (8 HR) and the Cincinnati Reds (16-16) take on Gunnar Henderson (4 HR) and the Baltimore Orioles (21-11) at Great American Ball Park, beginning at 6:40 PM ET live on BSOH. The Reds are -125 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup. Andrew Abbott will get the ball for Cincinnati while Baltimore will counter with John Means.
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Reds vs. Orioles Predictions
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Moneyline Odds & Pick
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Moneyline Pick | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | -125 | +105 | Orioles | Orioles 5, Reds 4 |
Moneyline Insights
- Cincinnati has been the moneyline favorite 15 total times this season. It've gone 10-5 in those games.
- Baltimore has entered the game as underdogs four times this season and won three of those games.
- The Reds have a record of 8-4 when they have played as moneyline favorites with odds of -125 or shorter (66.7% winning percentage).
- The Orioles have played as an underdog of +105 or more once this season and lost that game.
- Cincinnati has a 55.6% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
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Total Odds & Pick
| Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Over/Under Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | -105 | -115 | Under 9 runs |
Total Insights
- Games involving Cincinnati have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 17 of 32 chances this season.
- Baltimore's games have gone over the total in 16 of its 32 opportunities.
- The Reds and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
- When it comes to the over/under, the Orioles and their opponents are 3-6-1 in their previous 10 games.
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Read More About This Game
Reds vs. Orioles Probable Starting Pitchers
Reds: Andrew Abbott
- Abbott (1-3) will take the mound for the Reds, his seventh start of the season.
- The 24-year-old has an ERA of 3.27, a 2.45 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.121 in six games this season.
- The Reds were the moneyline favorite for one Abbott start this season -- they won.
- Abbott's team has compiled a 3-3 record over his six starts.
- Abbott's starts hit the over on the run total two times in six games with a set total this season.
Orioles: John Means
- Means will make his first start of the season for the Orioles.
- Last season, he posted a 2.66 ERA with 10 strikeouts and four walks in 23 2/3 innings, finishing with a record of 1-2.
- Means appeared in two games last season as the moneyline underdog and his team finished with a record of 1-1 in those contests.
- When he pitched in a game last season, his team posted a record of 2-2.
- When he pitched, the teams were 1-3-0 at hitting the over on the total set by oddsmakers.
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Reds vs. Orioles Stats
| Reds | Orioles | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.7 | 5.2 | |
| 9 | 3 | |
| 4.2 | 3.8 | |
| 14 | 5 | |
| .214 | .250 | |
| 28 | 7 | |
| .235 | .224 | |
| 12 | 9 | |
| 32 | 49 | |
| 17 | 1 | |
| 32 | 36 | |
| 14 | 21 |
How to Watch Reds vs. Orioles
- Date: Saturday, May 4, 2024
- Time: 6:40 PM ET
- TV: BSOH
- Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
- Venue: Great American Ball Park
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
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