Tigers vs. Royals Prediction: Odds, Line & Insights for April 28

The Detroit Tigers (15-12) host the Kansas City Royals (17-11) Sunday to close out a three-game series. The Tigers are favored (-155) to win the rubber match, which starts at 1:40 PM ET from Comerica Park. Detroit's Tarik Skubal and Kansas City's Michael Wacha have been named the starters for this contest.

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Tigers vs. Royals Predictions

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Moneyline Odds & Pick

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Moneyline Pick Score Prediction
Tigers -155 +130 Royals Royals 4, Tigers 3

Moneyline Insights

  • Detroit has compiled a 7-5 record in games it was favored on the moneyline (winning 58.3% of those games).
  • Kansas City has been the underdog in 19 games this season and won 11 (57.9%) of those contests.
  • In games they have played as moneyline favorites with odds of -155 or shorter, the Tigers have a 2-1 record (winning 66.7% of their games).
  • This season, the Royals have won two of their four games when they're the underdog by at least +130 on the moneyline.
  • Based on this game's moneyline, Detroit has an implied win probability of 60.8%.

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Total Odds & Pick

Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Over/Under Pick
7.5 -105 -115 Under 7.5 runs

Total Insights

  • Detroit's games have gone over the total in 13 of its 26 chances.
  • Kansas City's games have gone over the total in 10 of its 28 opportunities.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Tigers and their opponents are 7-2-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • When it comes to the over/under, the Royals and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their previous 10 games.

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Read More About This Game

Tigers vs. Royals Probable Starting Pitchers

Tigers: Tarik Skubal

  • The Tigers will hand the ball to Skubal (3-0) for his sixth start of the season.
  • The 27-year-old has pitched to a 1.82 ERA this season with 10.6 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.5 walks per nine across five games.
  • The Tigers are 3-1 in Skubal's four starts this season with Detroit as the moneyline favorite.
  • Skubal's team is 4-1 over his five starts.
  • Skubal has had five starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and four of those outings finished over the total.

Royals: Michael Wacha

  • Wacha (1-2) will take the mound for the Royals, his sixth start of the season.
  • The 32-year-old has an ERA of 3.81 and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .257 in five games this season.
  • When he is the starting pitcher, Kansas City has a record of 1-2 this season when they are the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Wacha's team is 2-3 when he starts this season.
  • Out of Wacha's five starts with a total this season, one has hit the over.

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Tigers vs. Royals Stats

Tigers Royals
4.0
Runs Scored (PG)
4.7
20
MLB Rank (RPG)
12
4.0
Runs Allowed (PG)
3.1
7
MLB Rank (RAPG)
1
.220
Batting AVG
.237
24
MLB Rank (BA)
20
.213
Batting AVG Against
.237
4
MLB Rank (BAA)
14
21
Home Runs
29
27
MLB Rank (HR)
10
27
Home Runs Allowed
17
11
MLB Rank (HRA)
3

How to Watch Tigers vs. Royals

  • Date: Sunday, April 28, 2024
  • Time: 1:40 PM ET
  • TV: BSDET
  • Location: Detroit, Michigan
  • Venue: Comerica Park
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo

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