Guardians vs. Red Sox Prediction: Odds, Line & Insights for April 25

Following a four-hit effort last time out, Wilyer Abreu leads the Boston Red Sox (14-11) into action as +115 underdogs against the Cleveland Guardians (17-7). The game gets underway from Progressive Field at 1:10 PM ET on Thursday, live on NESN. Cleveland's Triston McKenzie gets the start, and he'll go against Boston's Chase Anderson.

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Guardians vs. Red Sox Predictions

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Moneyline Odds & Pick

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Moneyline Pick Score Prediction
Guardians -135 +115 Guardians Guardians 5, Red Sox 4

Moneyline Insights

  • Cleveland has won nine of the 14 games it was listed as the moneyline favorite this season (64.3%).
  • This season, Boston has been the underdog 13 times and won seven, or 53.8%, of those games.
  • When they have played as moneyline favorites with odds of -135 or shorter, the Guardians have a record of 7-2 (77.8%).
  • The Red Sox are 3-2 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +115 or more on the moneyline.
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, Cleveland has an implied win probability of 57.4%.

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Total Odds & Pick

Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Over/Under Pick
7.5 -105 -115 Over 7.5 runs

Total Insights

  • Cleveland's games have gone over the total in 15 of its 24 chances.
  • Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 11 of its 25 opportunities.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Guardians and their opponents are 7-3-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • When it comes to the over/under, the Red Sox and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games.

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Read More About This Game

Guardians vs. Red Sox Probable Starting Pitchers

Guardians: Triston McKenzie

  • The Guardians' McKenzie (2-2) will make his fifth start of the season.
  • The 26-year-old has an ERA of 5.00 and 5.5 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .206 in four games this season.
  • The Guardians have a 2-2 record in McKenzie's four starts this season when they were favored on the moneyline.
  • McKenzie's team is 2-2 over his four starts.
  • McKenzie has had four starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and three of those games hit the over.

Red Sox: Chase Anderson

  • Anderson will make his first start of the season for the Red Sox.
  • He has pitched in six games this season with an ERA of 2.77, a batting average against of .208 and 5.5 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • Anderson and his team won as underdogs in eight of his 16 appearances last season with a moneyline.
  • The 36-year-old's team finished with a record of 8-9 in games he pitched.
  • When he pitched, the teams were 9-8-0 at hitting the over on the total set by oddsmakers.

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Guardians vs. Red Sox Stats

Guardians Red Sox
5.3
Runs Scored (PG)
4.5
5
MLB Rank (RPG)
13
3.4
Runs Allowed (PG)
3.6
2
MLB Rank (RAPG)
4
.251
Batting AVG
.235
9
MLB Rank (BA)
20
.226
Batting AVG Against
.219
10
MLB Rank (BAA)
3
23
Home Runs
33
18
MLB Rank (HR)
2
22
Home Runs Allowed
19
8
MLB Rank (HRA)
5

How to Watch Guardians vs. Red Sox

  • Date: Thursday, April 25, 2024
  • Time: 1:10 PM ET
  • TV: NESN
  • Location: Cleveland, Ohio
  • Venue: Progressive Field
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo

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