Pirates vs. Red Sox Prediction: Odds, Line & Insights for April 20

The Pittsburgh Pirates (11-9) hope to avoid their fifth straight defeat when they host the Boston Red Sox (11-10) Saturday at 4:05 PM ET on SportsNet PT. The Pirates are listed as -120 favorites to snap their losing skid, while the Red Sox are +100 underdogs. Pittsburgh's Mitch Keller and Boston's Kutter Crawford have been named the starters for this contest.

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Pirates vs. Red Sox Predictions

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Moneyline Odds & Pick

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Moneyline Pick Score Prediction
Pirates -120 +100 Pirates Pirates 5, Red Sox 4

Moneyline Insights

  • Pittsburgh is 3-5 in games it was listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 37.5% of those games).
  • Boston has won four of the nine games it has played as the underdog this season.
  • The Pirates have gone 3-5 (winning only 37.5% of their games) when they have played as moneyline favorites of -120 or shorter.
  • The Red Sox are 1-4 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +100 or more on the moneyline.
  • Pittsburgh has an implied moneyline win probability of 54.5% in this game.

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Total Odds & Pick

Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Over/Under Pick
7.5 -115 -105 Over 7.5 runs

Total Insights

  • Pittsburgh's games have gone over the total in 12 of its 20 chances.
  • Contests with Boston has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 10 of 21 chances this season.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
  • In their previous 10 matchups with a total posted by oddsmakers, the Red Sox and their foes are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Pirates vs. Red Sox Probable Starting Pitchers

Pirates: Mitch Keller

  • The Pirates will hand the ball to Keller (2-1) for his fifth start of the season.
  • The 28-year-old has pitched in four games this season with a 4.50 ERA and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .295.
  • The Pirates are 2-1 in Keller's three starts this season with Pittsburgh as the moneyline favorite.
  • Keller's team has a 3-1 record in his four starts.
  • Keller has started four games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in three of them.

Red Sox: Kutter Crawford

  • The Red Sox will hand the ball to Crawford (0-0) for his fifth start of the season.
  • The 28-year-old has pitched in four games this season with an ERA of 0.42, a 3 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of .797.
  • His team lost his only start as an underdog this season.
  • Crawford's team has won one of his four starts this season.
  • Out of Crawford's four starts with a total this season, two have hit the over.

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Pirates vs. Red Sox Stats

Pirates Red Sox
4.7
Runs Scored (PG)
4.4
14
MLB Rank (RPG)
15
4.5
Runs Allowed (PG)
3.9
13
MLB Rank (RAPG)
4
.238
Batting AVG
.229
18
MLB Rank (BA)
22
.233
Batting AVG Against
.220
12
MLB Rank (BAA)
3
16
Home Runs
28
24
MLB Rank (HR)
2
20
Home Runs Allowed
17
12
MLB Rank (HRA)
8

How to Watch Pirates vs. Red Sox

  • Date: Saturday, April 20, 2024
  • Time: 4:05 PM ET
  • TV: SportsNet PT
  • Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • Venue: PNC Park
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo

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