Red Sox vs. Guardians Prediction: Odds, Line & Insights for April 18

Led by Connor Wong (two-game homer streak), the Boston Red Sox (10-9) are favorites versus the Cleveland Guardians (12-6) Thursday at 1:35 PM ET. Bookmakers have named the Red Sox as -115 favorites for the game, which airs on NESN. Boston's Brennan Bernardino gets the start, and he'll go against Cleveland's Carlos Carrasco.

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Red Sox vs. Guardians Predictions

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Moneyline Odds & Pick

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Moneyline Pick Score Prediction
Red Sox -115 -105 Guardians Guardians 5, Red Sox 4

Moneyline Insights

  • Boston has gone 7-4 in games it was favored on the moneyline (winning 63.6% of those games).
  • Cleveland has entered the game as underdogs nine times this season and won seven of those games.
  • When they have played as moneyline favorites with odds of -115 or shorter, the Red Sox have a 7-4 record (winning 63.6% of their games).
  • This season, the Guardians have won six of their eight games when they're the underdog by at least -105 on the moneyline.
  • The implied moneyline probablility in this matchup gives Boston a 53.5% chance to win.

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Total Odds & Pick

Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Over/Under Pick
9 -110 -110 Under 9 runs

Total Insights

  • Games involving Boston have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in eight of 19 chances this season.
  • Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 10 of its 18 opportunities.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
  • In their last 10 games with an over/under, the Guardians and their opponents have combined to eclipse the total five times.

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Red Sox vs. Guardians Probable Starting Pitchers

Red Sox: Brennan Bernardino

  • The Red Sox will send Bernardino to the mound for his first start this season.
  • He has an ERA of 1.69, a batting average against of .111 and 13.5 strikeouts per nine innings in four games this season.
  • Bernardino and his team finished 3-2 in the five games he appeared in when they were the moneyline favorite a season ago.
  • He made six appearances last year and his team finished 3-3 in those games.

Guardians: Carlos Carrasco

  • The Guardians will send Carrasco (0-1) to the mound for his fourth start this season.
  • The 37-year-old has pitched in three games this season with an ERA of 3.55 and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .267.
  • His team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they're underdogs on the moneyline.
  • Carrasco's team has a 1-2 record in his starts this season.
  • The teams have gone under the point total set by sportsbooks in each of the three games Carrasco has started this season.

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Red Sox vs. Guardians Stats

Red Sox Guardians
4.3
Runs Scored (PG)
5.4
17
MLB Rank (RPG)
6
4
Runs Allowed (PG)
3.4
5
MLB Rank (RAPG)
2
.227
Batting AVG
.250
23
MLB Rank (BA)
9
.224
Batting AVG Against
.225
6
MLB Rank (BAA)
7
24
Home Runs
18
3
MLB Rank (HR)
16
17
Home Runs Allowed
13
9
MLB Rank (HRA)
5

How to Watch Red Sox vs. Guardians

  • Date: Thursday, April 18, 2024
  • Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • TV: NESN
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Venue: Fenway Park
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo

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