Mets vs. Pirates Prediction: Odds, Line & Insights for April 17
The Pittsburgh Pirates (11-7 look to avoid the sweep when they visit the New York Mets (9-8) in the final game of a three-game set. Sportsbooks have listed the Mets as -135 favorites, while the Pirates are +115 underdogs to pick up a win. Luis Severino will get the ball for New York while Pittsburgh will counter with Bailey Falter.
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Mets vs. Pirates Predictions
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Moneyline Odds & Pick
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Moneyline Pick | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -135 | +115 | Mets | Mets 6, Pirates 5 |
Moneyline Insights
- New York has gone 3-6 in games it was listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 33.3% of those games).
- Pittsburgh has won seven of the nine games it has played as the underdog this season.
- When they have played as moneyline favorites with odds of -135 or shorter, the Mets have a 1-4 record (winning just 20% of their games).
- The Pirates have a record of 2-1 in games where sportsbooks have them as underogs of at least +115 on the moneyline.
- New York has a 57.4% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
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Total Odds & Pick
| Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Over/Under Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | +100 | -120 | Over 8.5 runs |
Total Insights
- So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in eight of 17 games with a total.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 10 of its 18 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
- In their previous 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have combined to exceed the over/under on four occasions.
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Mets vs. Pirates Probable Starting Pitchers
Mets: Luis Severino
- Severino (1-1) will take to the mound for the Mets and make his fourth start of the season.
- The 30-year-old has pitched to a 3.00 ERA this season with 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.6 walks per nine across three games.
- The Mets were favored on the moneyline for two Severino starts this season -- they split the games.
- Severino's team has won one of his three starts.
- Severino's starts with a set total this season have hit the over in two of three games.
Pirates: Bailey Falter
- Falter (1-0) will take the mound for the Pirates, his fourth start of the season.
- The 26-year-old has an ERA of 4.20 and 3.6 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .182 in three games this season.
- His team has won each of the three games he's started as the moneyline underdog.
- Falter's team is undefeated in the three games he's started this season.
- In Falter's three starts with a total, the teams have hit the over two times.
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Mets vs. Pirates Stats
| Mets | Pirates | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.6 | 5.1 | |
| 15 | 10 | |
| 4.2 | 4 | |
| 8 | 5 | |
| .243 | .247 | |
| 14 | 10 | |
| .224 | .224 | |
| 5 | 5 | |
| 17 | 16 | |
| 16 | 18 | |
| 10 | 14 | |
| 3 | 7 |
How to Watch Mets vs. Pirates
- Date: Wednesday, April 17, 2024
- Time: 1:10 PM ET
- TV: SportsNet PT
- Location: Queens, New York
- Venue: Citi Field
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
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