Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction: Odds, Line & Insights for March 29

The Miami Marlins (0-1) are favorites (-130) on the moneyline when they take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (1-0) Friday at 7:10 PM ET, live on BSFL. Miami's Andrew Jacob Puk gets the start, and he'll go against Pittsburgh's Martin Perez.

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Marlins vs. Pirates Predictions

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Moneyline Odds & Pick

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Moneyline Pick Score Prediction
Marlins -130 +110 Pirates Pirates 6, Marlins 5

Moneyline Insights

  • Miami was favored on the moneyline 75 total times last season. It went 43-32 in those games.
  • Pittsburgh won 56, or 43.1%, of the 130 games it played as underdogs last season.
  • The Marlins had a record of 33-18 in games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -130 or shorter last year (64.7%).
  • The Pirates had a record of 47-57, a 45.2% win rate, when they were set as the underdog by +110 or more by oddsmakers last season.
  • Miami has a 56.5% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability.

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Total Odds & Pick

Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Over/Under Pick
8.5 -105 -115 Over 8.5 runs

Total Insights

  • Games involving Miami went over the total set by sportsbooks in 74 of 162 chances last season.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents hit the over in 87 of its 162 games with a total last season.

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Marlins vs. Pirates Probable Starting Pitchers

Andrew Jacob Puk

  • The Marlins will send out Puk for his first start of the season.
  • He pitched to a 3.97 ERA while striking out 12.4 batters per nine innings with a record of 7-5 last season.
  • Puk's team was never favored on the moneyline a season ago in games he pitched.

Martín Pérez

  • Perez will make his first start of the season for the Pirates.
  • Last season, he posted a 4.45 ERA with 93 strikeouts and 49 walks in 141 2/3 innings, finishing with a record of 10-4.
  • Perez and his team had a 6-4 record when he pitched as an underdog last season.
  • His team finished with a record of 13-7 in games he pitched last season.
  • When he pitched, the teams were 12-8-0 at hitting the over on the total set by bookmakers.

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Marlins vs. Pirates Stats (2023)

Marlins Pirates
4.1
Runs Scored (PG)
4.3
26
MLB Rank (RPG)
21
4.5
Runs Allowed (PG)
4.9
16
MLB Rank (RAPG)
22
.259
Batting AVG
.239
4
MLB Rank (BA)
24
.246
Batting AVG Against
.251
16
MLB Rank (BAA)
20
166
Home Runs
159
22
MLB Rank (HR)
28
191
Home Runs Allowed
179
14
MLB Rank (HRA)
6

How to Watch Marlins vs. Pirates

  • Date: Friday, March 29, 2024
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • TV: BSFL
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Venue: LoanDepot park
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo

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