Mariners vs. Red Sox Prediction: Odds, Line & Insights for March 28
The Seattle Mariners are moneyline favorites (-150) to begin their season with a home win over the Boston Red Sox on Thursday at 10:10 PM ET, live on NESN. Luis Castillo will get the ball for Seattle while Boston will counter with Brayan Bello.
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Mariners vs. Red Sox Predictions
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Moneyline Odds & Pick
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Moneyline Pick | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -150 | +125 | Mariners | Mariners 6, Red Sox 4 |
Moneyline Insights
- Seattle won 58.2% of the games last season it was the moneyline favorite (64-46).
- Boston won 40, or 46%, of the 87 games it played as underdogs last season.
- The Mariners had a record of 34-24 in games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -150 or shorter last year (58.6%).
- The Red Sox had a record of 19-12, a 61.3% win rate, when they were set as the underdog by +125 or more by bookmakers last season.
- Based on this contest's moneyline, Seattle has an implied win probability of 60%.
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Total Odds & Pick
| Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Over/Under Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | -105 | -115 | Over 7.5 runs |
Total Insights
- Games involving Seattle went over the total set by bookmakers in 80 of 162 chances last season.
- Boston and its opponents hit the over in 82 of its 161 games with a total last season.
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Mariners vs. Red Sox Probable Starting Pitchers
Luis Castillo
- The Mariners will send Castillo to the mound for his first start this season.
- Last season, he posted a 3.34 ERA with 10 strikeouts per nine innings and a record of 14-9.
- Castillo and his team went 18-11 in games he pitched when they were moneyline favorites a season ago.
- When he pitched in a game last season, his team had a record of 19-14.
Brayan Bello
- Bello will make his first start of the season for the Red Sox.
- He finished last season with a 4.24 ERA and a 1.338 WHIP while earning a 12-11 record.
- Bello and his team won nine of the games he started as the moneyline underdog last season, with a record of 9-5.
- His team finished with a record of 17-11 in games he pitched last season.
- When he pitched, the teams were 14-14-0 at hitting the over on the total set by oddsmakers.
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Mariners vs. Red Sox Stats (2023)
| Mariners | Red Sox | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.7 | 4.8 | |
| 12 | 9 | |
| 4.1 | 4.8 | |
| 3 | 21 | |
| .242 | .258 | |
| 22 | 6 | |
| .237 | .256 | |
| 7 | 24 | |
| 210 | 182 | |
| 11 | 18 | |
| 184 | 208 | |
| 9 | 24 |
How to Watch Mariners vs. Red Sox
- Date: Thursday, March 28, 2024
- Time: 10:10 PM ET
- TV: NESN
- Location: Seattle, Washington
- Venue: T-Mobile Park
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
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