Pirates vs. Nationals Prediction: Odds, Line & Insights for April 3

The Pittsburgh Pirates (5-0) roll into Wednesday's matchup with the Washington Nationals (1-3) looking to extend a five-game winning streak. The contest starts at 6:45 PM ET on MASN with the Pirates listed as -145 favorites on the moneyline. Pittsburgh's Mitch Keller gets the start, and he'll go against Washington's Trevor Williams.

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Pirates vs. Nationals Predictions

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Moneyline Odds & Pick

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Moneyline Pick Score Prediction
Pirates -145 +120 Pirates Pirates 7, Nationals 5

Moneyline Insights

  • Pittsburgh went 20-12 in games it was favored on the moneyline last season (winning 62.5% of those games).
  • Washington won 60, or 40.5%, of the 148 games it played as underdogs last season.
  • In games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -145 or shorter last year, the Pirates had a record of 9-6 (60%).
  • Last season, the Nationals won 52 of their 126 games, or 41.3%, when they were the underdog by at least +120 on the moneyline.
  • Pittsburgh has an implied moneyline win probability of 59.2% in this matchup.

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Total Odds & Pick

Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Over/Under Pick
8.5 -110 -110 Over 8.5 runs

Total Insights

  • Games involving Pittsburgh went over the total set by sportsbooks in 87 of 162 chances last season.
  • Washington and its opponents hit the over in 76 of its 160 games with a total last season.

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Pirates vs. Nationals Probable Starting Pitchers

Pirates: Mitch Keller

  • The Pirates' Keller will make his second start of the season.
  • He has an ERA of 6.35, a batting average against of .304 and 4.8 strikeouts per nine innings in one game this season.
  • The Pirates have yet to be named a moneyline favorite when Keller starts this season.
  • His team won the only matchup he's appeared in this season.
  • Keller's lone start with a total this season went over.

Nationals: Trevor Williams

  • Williams has been named the starter for the Nationals and will make his first start this season.
  • He ended last season with a 5.55 ERA and a 1.6 WHIP in 30 games, finishing with a 6-10 record.
  • Williams appeared in 27 games last season as the moneyline underdog and his team finished with a record of 11-16 in those contests.
  • The 31-year-old made 30 appearances last year and his team went 14-16 in those games.
  • In 29 games he pitched with a total set by oddsmakers last season, the teams hit the over 13 times.

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Pirates vs. Nationals Stats (2023)

Pirates Nationals
4.3
Runs Scored (PG)
4.3
21
MLB Rank (RPG)
21
4.9
Runs Allowed (PG)
5.2
22
MLB Rank (RAPG)
26
.239
Batting AVG
.254
24
MLB Rank (BA)
11
.251
Batting AVG Against
.273
20
MLB Rank (BAA)
28
159
Home Runs
151
28
MLB Rank (HR)
29
179
Home Runs Allowed
245
6
MLB Rank (HRA)
30

How to Watch Pirates vs. Nationals

  • Date: Wednesday, April 3, 2024
  • Time: 6:45 PM ET
  • TV: MASN
  • Location: Washington D.C.
  • Venue: Nationals Park
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo

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