Mets right-hander Mike Pelfrey said he is "99 percent" certain he will need to have season-ending Tommy John surgery. He had an MRI exam that revealed a partial tear of the ulnar collateral ligament in his pitching elbow. He will fly to Alabama to meet with Dr. James Andrews. "I'll go down and see Dr. Andrews personally and we'll go from there. But there's a 99 percent chance it's going to happen," Pelfrey said. "Obviously it's frustrating. I've never been hurt. It's only been three days and I don't know what I'm doing with myself."