Toronto Blue Jays Wiretap

Ricciardi Hints Halladay Might Be Dealt

Blue Jays general manager J.P. Ricciardi commented on rumors that the team could shop Roy Halladay at midseason recently.

"We're still the same on that topic. If our ownership says, 'Hey, listen, our payroll next year can't be what it can be this year,' we'd have to exhaust every possible avenue before we go down that road," Ricciardi said. "That's not what we're looking to do."

Halladay's contract has a full no-trade clause.

Via Boston Globe


2009 Season Preview: Toronto Blue Jays

2008 Record: 86-76

2008 Team OPS: .731 (22nd)

2008 Starters ERA: 3.72 (1st)

2008 Relievers ERA: 2.94 (1ST)

2008 HOR Leader: Alex Rios (11.9%, 36th)

2009 Projected Team OPS: .745

2009 Projected Starters ERA: 4.25

2009 Projected Relievers ERA: 3.15

*2009 Projected Record: 82-80

* Projected Record is a formula that takes projected team OPS, starters ERA and relievers ERA into account in order to get a projected runs scored and runs allowed per game. Those figures are then inserted into the Pythagorean record formula.

Recent Opsera History

2008: 4th, 3.82 2007: 9th, 3.46 2006: 4th, 3.74 2005: 15th, 3.32 2004: 27th, 2.41 2003: 15th, 3.34 2002: 21st, 2.77 2001: 14th, 3.27

- Opsera is a stat I created that ranks team based on OPS minus ERA.

Click here to view the full Blue Jays Opsera history

Rating The Offseason

The Jays took a financial step backwards at an inopportune time, because the 2008 club was really not far away from the playoffs. They had a Pythagorean record of 92-70, which was just one game back of Tampa Bay and three behind the Red Sox as far as that stat goes.

Whether it was injuries or simply because of finances, Toronto seemed to take a look at the Rays, Red Sox and Yankees and see nothing but the image of Sisyphus in the mirror when it came to competing in 2009.

Re-signing A.J. Burnett was never a realistic or even prudent option and he of course signed with the Yankees.

Matt Clement was a low risk, high potential reward signing, but he has been horrible in the spring.

They allowed Kevin Millar to continue his AL East rock tour.

Toronto allowed the Gregg Zaun era to end and exercised Rod Barjas' option and also added Michael Barrett to serve as stopgaps until J.P. Arencibia is ready behind the plate.

No Dumb Questions

1. Is Vernon Wells ready (i.e. healthy) to perform at the kind of level he is being paid?

2. How will Travis Snider adjust to the big leagues?

3. Will it be humanly possible for their pitching staff to lead all of baseball in starter and reliever ERA despite the losses via free agency and injury?

4. Can the Blue Jays' offense ever be good enough to let Roy Halladay pitch in the postseason?

5. Does Cito Gaston have any of that early 90's magic left in him on this reunion tour?

5b. Why don't they bring back their awesome uniforms from the pre-1997 days? This is one of the slickest logos in the history of sports design and since it is associated with Toronto's glory days, it is sorely missed.

Maximizing Potential

The best case scenario for the Jays is they have an exact replication of their 2008 season on the mound and defensively, while getting a ROY campaign from Snider, a comeback year from Wells and surprising seasons from Lyle Overbay, Aaron Hill and Adam Lind.

Expectations are high on Snider and rightfully so. Snider comes into the 2009 season as the 6th best prospect in all of baseball, according to Baseball America's list of rankings. He projects to having very nice power and a solid OBP if he can reduce his strikeout rate. Snider should be able to tear up righty pitching from the get go, but he'll have some growing pains against lefties.

What Will Likely Happen

Toronto should be better offensively ands score more than just 714 runs, but they will almost certainly yield more than 610 runs. Burnett is in the Bronx, Shaun Marcum is out for the season due to Tommy John surgery and who knows when Dustin McGowan will return because of elbow problems. Jesse Litsch remains, but there are only a few pitchers who strikeout nearly half as many batters as they pitch innings while having an ERA in the 3.00's.

Trading out Burnett, Marcum and McGowan for David Purcey, Brad Mills and Ricky Romero is a net loss that is almost too massive to calculate and even another Cy Young from Halladay won't really matter.

I'm not sure Scott Rolen has a whole lot left in the tank of his bat, but he's at least an excellent defensive third baseman still.

If Wells is healthy, he and Rios are as good as anyone in center and right field, but they need 2006 and 2003 Wells, even his bounce back 2008 with an .839 OPS isn't really good enough.

The biggest underlying problem is that the Jays have so many games scheduled against three teams each capable of winning 100. If they were in the AL West, I actually would like their chances to win it, but they just don't have enough talent to compete in earnest this season, even with an excellent bullpen.

What Do They Have In The Pipeline

With Snider graduating on (also including Brad Mills in that category), the Blue Jays' farm system will be in a state of flux this season in terms of how they rank. Brett Cecil is probably next in line for top billing, but there are a wide array of opinions on the players thereafter.

JP Riccardi has taken some hits for a few selections, such as the Ricky Romero pick in 2005 and the Blue Jays have virtually no significant reach in Latin America, but they do have a few solid pieces with varying degrees of upside and risk.

I am personally really high on Justin Jackson, have a lot of confidence in J.P. Arencibia and see good quality in David Cooper.

Click here to view full report on their top prospects.

Predicting Their Season With A Movie Trailer

A lot of movies are filmed in Toronto these days as a stand-in for New York and Chicago, so here is one of those with Halladay, Rios, Wells and Snider as the four. Who gets the Jessica Alba role though? Probably Rios.

- Chris Reina is the executive editor of RealGM.com

Via Christopher Reina/RealGM


Blue Jays To Sign Pitcher Shawn Hill

The Blue Jays will sign pitcher Shawn Hill once he clears waivers from the Nationals.

"We wouldn't be signing him to come in here and make the major-league staff," Jays GM J.P. Ricciardi said. "We'd have to get him up to speed, kind of like (former major-leaguer) Wade Miller (currently in minor-league camp).

"We're just trying to get as many arms as we can in here. We know the young kids are going to struggle. ... We're trying to put them in spots they might not be ready for. We get some veteran guys here and they can hold the fort down.

"Eventually, (Ricky) Romero, (Brad) Mills, (Brett) Cecil will all pitch for us. Maybe one, maybe two breaks with us. It gives us enough experience where we can just ease them in as opposed to throwing them in. The Hills and those guys might allow us to buy some starts for the younger kids."

Via Toronto Star


Blue Jays Mar 2009 Archive

  • Burnett Gives Up One Run In Start Against Old Club

    Working on his delivery and limiting damage, A.J. Burnett held the Blue Jays to one run in 3 1/3 innings to log the win in the Yankees' 7-4 Grapefruit League victory.

  • Vernon Wells' Recovery On Track

    Vernon Wells has progressed in his recovery from the pulled hamstring that he suffered on Feb. 23.

  • Toronto Signs Wade Miller

    Wade Miller has reached a preliminary agreement on a minor league deal with the Toronto Blue Jays.

  • Blue Jays Discussing Sign-And-Trade?

    The sign-and-trade could finally make it's way to baseball, specifically with the Blue Jays looking to make a move without giving up a draft pick.